Good morning. I will be traveling to Dallas with the first flight out of Newark this morning, so unfortunately I will be unable to give my live market comments.
But I wanted to still communicate my thoughts on an aspect of the precious metals industry, so I decided to address the question:
Why do Central Banks buy Gold?
In recent months I have been told by some Wall Street professionals that they believe gold fundamentals have deteriorated. Not to mention the Fed’s decision to raise rates in December last year. And adding to this thought process, are some Fed governor comments that more rate hikes are a possibility.
Those facts and other reasons convinced the Wall Street pros that staying short gold was the right decision in the short term.
After talking to a few gold traders Tuesday morning, and witnessing a gold short covering rally today to $1,119, I believe, that their costly strategy has been covered and eliminated. So some look to recover their losses by trading the oil market instead.
Short covering and the continued increase in ETF holdings have supporting the gold price of late, but what you don’t see behind the scenes are the Central Banks continuing to add to their current gold holdings.
Global debt and the devaluation of some world currencies gives the Central Banks all the reasons to adopt that strategy.
Recently, countries have turned their back on the U.S. by selling Treasuries, giving up on us because of our current massive 19 trillion debt problem that has exploded under the current administration.
Where will it end?
Entitlements and health care costs are out of control. And unless we address these problems we may witness the worst economic disaster this country has ever seen. Looking at the facts is a U.S. downgrade in order?
What’s in your safe deposit box?
Have a wonderful Wednesday.
Disclaimer: This editorial has been prepared by Walter Pehowich of Dillon Gage Metals. This document is for information and thought-provoking purposes only and does not purport to predict or forecast actual results. It is not, and should not be regarded as investment advice or as a recommendation regarding any particular security, commodity or course of action. Opinions expressed herein are current opinions as of the date appearing in this editorial only and are subject to change without notice and cannot be attributable to Dillon Gage. Reasonable people may disagree about the opinions expressed herein. In the event any of the assumptions used herein do not come to fruition, results are likely to vary substantially. All investments entail risks. There is no guarantee that investment strategies will achieve the desired results under all market conditions and each investor should evaluate its ability to invest for a long term especially during periods of a market downturn. No part of this editorial may be reproduced in any manner, in whole or in part, without the prior written permission of Dillon Gage Metals. This information is provided with the understanding that with respect to the opinions provided herein, that you will make your own independent decision with respect to any course of action in connection herewith and as to whether such course of action is appropriate or proper based on your own judgment, and that you are capable of understanding and assessing the merits of a course of action. You may not rely on the statements contained herein. Dillon Gage Metals shall not have any liability for any damages of any kind whatsoever relating to this editorial. You should consult your advisors with respect to these areas. By posting this editorial, you acknowledge, understand and accept this disclaimer.