Blog

Gold jumps on this morning’s U.S. jobs report, with spot gold gaining over $40 an ounce. This gain adds to the yellow metal’s rise earlier Friday, as it shrugged off renewed tensions between the U.S. and Iran, and headed for its best week since January. Continue reading →

Gold futures were little changed early Monday after President Donald Trump said new talks between the U.S. and Iran would begin, diminishing fears of an inflation-driven interest rate hike. Continue reading →

Gold dips on as dollar regains strength, but the yellow metals is still headed for its first monthly gain since February. The early morning slip was driven by profit taking. Continue reading →

Gold dips in Wednesday morning trading as the dollar rises ahead of the Fed rate decision coming this afternoon. Continue reading →

Gold rises early Monday on a bombing pause in fighting between the U.S. and Iran and as investors awaited Wednesday’s Federal Reserve monetary policy decision for indicators on the state of the economy. Continue reading →

Gold reclaims ground this morning, with the DG spot price gaining over $30 an ounce, as oil prices ebb. Continue reading →

Gold rises to a two-week high early Wednesday as investors bought a dip caused by escalating tensions in the Middle East and speculation of an upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Continue reading →

Gold dipped early Monday amid the escalating conflict between the U.S. and Iran and rising speculation of a Federal Reserve interest rate increase as early as September.  Continue reading →

Gold extended losses early Friday and appears headed for its biggest weekly dip in six weeks as the worsening conflict between the U.S. and Iran fanned fears of a prolonged period of worsening inflation and interest rate hikes to combat them. Continue reading →

Gold recovers from its early Wednesday morning dip on the release of unexpectedly milder inflation data, with DG spot gold gaining over $30 an ounce on the news. Investors continue to watch the conflict in the Middle East for direction. Continue reading →

Gold drops early Monday as the dollar climbed along with oil prices on renewed Mideast tensions, increasing fears of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the transit point for a significant amount of the works oil, amid fresh U.S. strikes on Iran. Continue reading →

Gold fell early Friday as the U.S. and Iran exchanged airstrikes boosting expectations that a prolonged Mideast conflict will worsen inflation and spurs Fed rate hike bets. Continue reading →

Gold drops declined early Wednesday as the dollar and oil climbed on fresh U.S. strikes against Iran. Earlier in the trading day, President Trump announced the interim accord with Iran to end the war is “over.” Gold fell over 1% in early Wednesday trading. Continue reading →

Gold rises early Monday after a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report last week eased expectations that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates this year. Continue reading →

Gold gets a boost from this morning’s U.S. jobs data after dropping earlier Wednesday on speculation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year to combat inflation.   Continue reading →

Gold falls early Monday after Iran tensions ramped up over the weekend as teh U.S. and Iran exchanged strikes in the Persian Gulf, pushing oil prices higher, damping the likelihood of a lasting peace accord and boosting expectations of an interest rate hike this year to combat inflation. Continue reading →

Gold ticked up in early Friday trading on a softer dollar, but its still poised for a fourth weekly decline amid mounting bets of tighter U.S. monetary policy that may dampen demand for the precious metal. Continue reading →

Gold fell below the $4000 an ounce mark in Wednesday trading as the dollar climbed amid rising speculation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year to combat inflation. Continue reading →

Gold rises from a one-week low early Monday as inflation and tighter monetary policy fears ease after Iran said that negotiations between it and the U.S. went well over the weekend. Continue reading →

Gold extended losses early Friday in reaction to Wednesday’s hawkish Fed comments. The yellow metal is headed for the third weekly loss as the dollar firmed. Continue reading →

Gold was little changed early Wednesday as investors awaited the final details on the proposed U.S.-Iranian peace accord as well as the latest outlook on the economy from the Federal Reserve. Continue reading →

Gold surges early Monday to a near one-week high on news of the U.S. and Iran peace deal. President Trump announced yesterday that the U.S. reached a preliminary peace deal to end the conflict that has closed the Strait of Hormuz and caused oil and the prices of other goods to soar.  Continue reading →

Gold rose early Friday, reclaiming its place near the $4200 an ounce mark, after U.S. President Donald Trump said that the country was close to a possible peace deal with Iran, though the yellow metal still looks headed for a weekly loss on inflation fears and speculation that the Federal Reserve may have to raise interest rates. Continue reading →

Gold tumbled over $95 an ounce early Wednesday putting it at over a two-month low as Mideast war escalation hiked oil prices as the U.S. and Iran scuttled any immediate hopes of a peace accord. The gold metal got no help from this morning’s CPI data, as inflation continues to mount.   Continue reading →

Gold fell early Monday on rising speculation that the Federal Reserve will boost interest rates because it will need to rein in the high prices of goods following the war in Iran. Continue reading →

Gold fell Friday on the release of May’s job numbers and is headed for a weekly loss as signs of a peace deal between the U.S. and Iran remained elusive and equities were poised for a historic weekly run of gains. Continue reading →

Gold dips early Wednesday amid doubts that a peace deal between the U.S. and Iran was eminent as new fighting broke out in the Middle East.  Continue reading →

Gold drops early Monday as the dollar strengthened and oil prices advanced while investors awaited a decision from U.S. President Donald Trump on a proposed deal to end the conflict with Iran. Continue reading →

Gold sticking near the $4500 mark, as investors weighed reports of a possible U.S.-Iranian peace deal with inflationary concerns. Continue reading →

Gold slips for a second ‌session on Wednesday as hopes dimmed for a quick end to the U.S.-Iran conflict. Investors also watch news on whether the U.S. and Iran are close to a truce and what the Federal Reserve intends to do regarding future monetary policy. Continue reading →

Gold fell early Friday and headed for a weekly loss on a strong dollar and as high oil prices from the war in Iran increased speculation that the Federal Reserve will have to increase interest rates. Continue reading →

Gold reclaimed some turf, getting back near the $4500 mark after falling to its lowest level in about a month and a half early Wednesday on a strong dollar and high Treasury yields. However, ‌U.S. Treasury yields have now slipped on hopes of a potential resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict easing some inflation concerns, giving gold a bump. Continue reading →

Gold clawed back territory in Monday morning trading after falling to a one-and-a-half-month low earlier in the trading day. The yellow metal found a structural case for support as investors bought the dip bringing it closer to the $4600 per ounce mark. The bullion early morning plunge was driven by high oil prices and inflation concerns stemming from the war with Iran. Continue reading →

Gold tumbles through early Friday trading on increasing inflation fears driving expectations that interest rates will remain high for some time amid rising oil prices. The yellow metal is also getting dinged by a stronger dollar. Continue reading →

Gold dropped early Wednesday after yesterday’s report showing soaring U.S. inflation data bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged for some time. This morning’s producer price index data served to reinforce the concerning inflation outlook. Continue reading →

Gold drops early Monday as hopes for a U.S.-Iran peace deal dissipated, clouding interest rate-cut hopes and boosting the dollar, making the yellow metal a less attractive alternate investment. Continue reading →

Gold boosted Friday morning on positive U.S. jobs data and aims for a weekly gain on the latest reports of a possible peace deal between the U.S. and Iran which helped ease concerns about inflation and elevated interest rates. Continue reading →

Gold climbed early Wednesday as soaring optimism about a possible peace deal between the U.S. and Iran that also sent the dollar and oil prices lower. Continue reading →

Gold edged lower early Monday amid ongoing concerns about inflation and the Iran war after the U.S. said it would escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. Continue reading →

Gold steady, but early Friday appears poised for a weekly loss amid fears that inflation will keep interest rates elevated for some time driven by oil prices. Continue reading →

Gold slumps Wednesday morning ahead of this afternoon’s Fed policy statement. Gold dropped for a third straight session on inflation ‌worries tied to the Middle East conflict. Investors await further guidance from the Federal Reserve later in the day on the economic impact of the Iran war. Continue reading →

Gold hovering at the $4700 mark Monday morning as investors awaited further clarity on talks between the U.S. and Iran to resolve the almost two-month-old war. Continue reading →

Gold recovered from an early Friday dip to hold steady near $4700 as investors eye Middle East developments. Inflation fears stemming from the war in Iran have pushed the expected timeline of any Federal Reserve interest rate cut even further out.  Continue reading →

Gold climbs as oil and the dollar weaken early Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would extend the ceasefire with Iran. Continue reading →

Gold slid early Monday while the dollar strengthened as the Iran war ramped up again over the weekend, resulting in the renewed closure of the critical Strait of Hormuz. The price of platinum joined gold in touching one-week lows a little earlier in the session. Continue reading →

Gold leaps over 1% on this morning’s news that the Strait of Hormuz is open as the yellow metal heads for a weekly gain on growing optimism over the Iran war. President Donald Trump said the U.S. was close to ending the Iran war, indicating that talks between the two countries may resume this weekend to fully end the conflict which has roiled markets, particularly in energy. The news weakened the dollar, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Gold dropped early Monday as the dollar and oil prices climbed following the collapse of U.S.-Iranian negotiations over the weekend and President Donald Trump’s threat to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil-market artery.

Gold tips lower early Friday but was headed for a weekly gain amid uncertainty about the staying power of the ceasefire announced between the U.S.-Israel coalition and Iran. 

Gold inches up early Monday on renewed safe haven interest as the Iran war raged on. The yellow metal still getting resistance from a boosting dollar, and strong U.S. jobs data for March the reduced speculation that the Federal Reserve cut interest rates soon. Continue reading →

Gold rises to the highest level in almost two weeks early Wednesday as the dollar weakened amid speculation that the war in Iran is ending. Continue reading →

Gold rebounding early Monday, extending gains as bargain-seeking investors began buying the precious metal following gold’s slide since the war started. Continue reading →

Gold rebounded early Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump extended his deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which was read as a signal that the conflict in the Middle East may stretch out, worsening inflation and perhaps sending interest rates higher. The yellow metal also getting support as investorsbuy the dip.   Continue reading →

Gold jumps early Wednesday as the dollar and oil prices fell on Iran war optimism driven by indications that the conflict in the Middle East may begin to ease. Continue reading →

Gold reclaims some ground, getting back near $4500 an ounce, after President Trump announced a potential dramatic de-escalation in the ongoing Iran conflict in a Truth Social post Monday morning.   Continue reading →

Gold ticks up in early Friday trading following Thursday’s plunge on inflation fears triggered by the ongoing war in Iran reduced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates multiple times this year. Gold and silver are both headed for a down week, with the yellow metal on course to close down 9% and silver down more than 10% for the week. Continue reading →

By Jason Laurie

Rising tensions involving Iran have pushed geopolitical risk and energy markets back into focus. That often leads to an immediate assumption that gold and silver should be surging.

That has not been the full story.

Precious metals usually respond to geopolitical stress, but the move is rarely driven by headlines alone. The bigger transmission channel is often energy. When conflict raises concerns about oil flows, inflation expectations can shift, interest-rate expectations can move and investor demand for defensive assets can strengthen. That mix matters for gold and silver far more than a single news cycle does. The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world’s most important oil chokepoints, accounting for about 20% of global petroleum liquids consumption and roughly one quarter of globally traded maritime oil in 2025.

What is the main takeaway for gold and silver investors?

The key point is simple. Gold is acting more like a geopolitical hedge than a panic trade.

That distinction matters. Gold often performs well when markets are pricing risk methodically, especially when investors see a chance that higher energy costs could keep inflation firmer for longer. The World Gold Council says geopolitics will remain an important investment driver in 2026 and that gold’s appeal as a hedge should continue to attract demand.

Silver is part of the same story, but it behaves differently. It can benefit from safe-haven buying, yet it also trades as an industrial metal. That dual role tends to make silver more volatile than gold in both directions. The Silver Institute continues to highlight strong industrial demand as a major force in the market.

Why does oil matter more than the headlines?

When markets look at Iran, they are also looking at shipping lanes, refinery flows and the possibility of supply disruptions. The Strait of Hormuz is the central pressure point. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) says a prolonged disruption there could affect around one-fifth of global petroleum liquids consumption, while the International Energy Agency (IEA) has noted that the route is central to exports from major Gulf producers.

That is why oil often serves as a bridge between geopolitical tensions and precious metals pricing.

Higher oil prices can support gold through three channels:

• rising inflation expectations
• more uncertainty around central bank policy
• broader market volatility

When that pressure persists, gold tends to get firmer support. This relationship also helps explain why gold does not always spike on the first geopolitical shock. Investors may wait to see whether the event changes the inflation and rates outlook in a lasting way.

Has the IEA tried to calm the oil market?

Recent reporting indicates that emergency oil-stock discussions moved quickly as energy markets reacted to the conflict. Reuters reported on March 11 that the International Energy Agency agreed to release 400 million barrels of oil, with support from member countries, to ease the supply shock and cool crude prices.

For precious metals, that matters because efforts to cool oil can also reduce the odds that an energy spike feeds directly into broader inflation pressure. If the oil market stabilizes, gold may still hold its geopolitical bid, but one of its biggest macro tailwinds can soften.

Why does gold still have structural support?

Even when the immediate geopolitical reaction is muted, gold still has a strong underlying base of demand.

Central banks remain an important part of that story. The World Gold Council says central bank demand stayed durable through 2025, with net central bank demand rising to 230 tonnes in the fourth quarter of 2025. Its reserve survey also found that gold continues to play an important role in reserve management during periods of uncertainty. The European Central Bank has likewise noted gold’s value for diversification and for managing geopolitical risk.

That matters because structural official-sector buying can help support gold prices even when rates are elevated or short-term market sentiment shifts.

Why is silver usually more volatile than gold?

Silver sits in two markets at once.

It is a precious metal and a store of value, but it is also an industrial input used across manufacturing, electronics and energy-related applications. The Silver Institute says industrial demand remains a key driver of the silver market and its 2025 survey points to another sizable market deficit with industrial usage at record levels.

That dual identity helps explain why silver can move more sharply than gold. If investors want safe-haven exposure, silver may rise with gold. If markets begin to worry about weaker growth or softer industrial demand, silver can come under pressure more quickly.

What are markets watching next?

Markets are now watching the next layer of consequences, not just the initial conflict.

The biggest questions are whether oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remain stable, whether the International Energy Agency release meaningfully offsets supply pressure, whether higher energy costs begin to shift inflation and interest-rate expectations and whether investors continue to add to gold as a hedge against persistent geopolitical risk.

That is the framework that matters most. For precious metals, the issue is not only that conflict exists. It is whether conflict changes the macro backdrop in a way that lasts.

What does this mean for Dillon Gage clients?

For dealers, institutions and other market participants, this is the kind of environment where access, liquidity and execution matter. Dillon Gage has built its business around wholesale precious metals trading, refining, minting and storage, serving dealers, financial institutions, banks and brokerage houses worldwide. As an authorized purchaser from the U.S. Mint and major sovereign mints, the company supports the market through metal sourcing, production capabilities and real-time physical metals trading through FizTrade. For clients seeking secure storage solutions, International Depository Services Group provides fully segregated and insured vaulting for precious metals.

How Oil, Inflation and Risk Are Driving Precious Metals

Gold and silver are not reacting to Iran-related tension in a vacuum. They are responding through oil, inflation expectations and the broader path of economic risk.

Gold continues to behave like a geopolitical hedge. Silver remains tied to both investor sentiment and industrial demand. If energy disruption proves temporary, precious metals may stay supported without breaking sharply higher. If the oil shock lasts and inflation expectations climb, the case for stronger support in gold and potentially more volatile moves in silver becomes much clearer.

This market commentary is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.

About the Source
Jason Laurie, Business Development Manager, North America for Dillon Gage Metals

Gold drops on the release of this morning’s inflation report, as investors now await the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook later in the day.

Gold clawed back above the $5000 mark, but still extends last week’s losses, as heightened concerns about inflation supported speculation that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for most of this year, including at its next policy meeting this week.

Gold tipped back up early Friday but was poised for a weekly drop as investor inflation, in part because of the recent oil price spike on the war in Iran, reduced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.