The Market Gage - Dillon Gage's Precious Metals Newsletter

Fed Comments Suppress Gold

Fed comments continue to suppress the price of gold.

We end the week with dollar index and Ten-Year Treasuries virtually unchanged. Wall Street gold traders continue to be absent from trading as the market seems to have no definitive direction. One gold trader I spoke with this morning said, “For the time being, I’m having better results trading in the oil market.”

Small outflows overnight reported in all four metals in the ETF arena.

Now to the news across the pond.
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The Market Gage - Dillon Gage's Precious Metals Newsletter

Gold Taps The Brakes As Wall Street Breathes Easier

Walter Pehowich is off today. A senior DG Staffer provided today’s commentary.

Wall Street is breathing just a tad easier with the market jumping 151 points on Tuesday, ending nine consecutive days of losses, the worst streak since 2011. It appears investors may have been spooked by the stunning rejection of health care reform last week, with thoughts now turning to President Trump’s tax reform plans. Will this initiative meet the same fate? Only time will tell.
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The Market Gage - Dillon Gage's Precious Metals Newsletter

Gold Hits Four Month High And Equities Open Much Lower

Wall Street’s frustration with Washington’s gridlock gives gold a boost this morning. Equities to open much lower as retail investors scramble to put their stop loss orders in on the Dow Industrial’s open. Taking some profits off the table could be a wise move right now.

Last night when I was watching the action in the Far East, it was apparent that gold and silver would be opening stronger here in the States. The activity in the dollar was brisk, trading lower versus other world currencies. Currently the dollar index is trading at 98.89, down 88 basis points which helps the rally in gold.

Also giving gold a boost are the World’s Ten-Year Bond yields which are all lower on the day.
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The Market Gage - Dillon Gage's Precious Metals Newsletter

Lots of Gold-Impacting News to Share

A lot of news to share with you this morning.

All eyes on the Fed today with the results on interest rates to be revealed at 2pm ET. The street expecting a .25 basis rate hike. The CME Watch tool has the odds of a rate hike at 90.8 percent this morning. All will be listening to the Chairwoman’s comments at the press conference after the announcement. Her view on the economy and how many more rate hikes she expects this year are on the minds of all traders and investors.

It would be interesting to hear if there were any voting Fed members who wanted to raise rates 50 basis points at this meeting to show the world they are ahead of the curve. Any surprises will have a profound effect on all the global markets.

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The Market Gage - Dillon Gage's Precious Metals Newsletter

Gold Under Pressure from a Stronger Dollar Index

The onslaught of negative news continues to put pressure on the metals this morning. The stronger dollar index now over 102. Stronger yields in the U.S. ten-year treasuries also hurting Gold. So much so that ten-year bond yields around the globe in countries such as Germany, France and Italy, all are showing a good increase in their 10-year bond yields.

Now that the 50-day and 100-day moving average has been violated, some Wall Street gold traders have indicated that they will take on a short position in gold and silver. They are now looking for the selloff to accelerate with hopes that the $1,200 dollar level in gold and the $17.00 dollar level
will be tested some time soon. These guys typically don’t like to hold a position too long unless the momentum is in their favor. If this market reverses they will cover in a heartbeat.

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The Market Gage - Dillon Gage's Precious Metals Newsletter

Gold Maintains Against a Stronger Dollar

After reaching a three week low in the price of gold on Friday, the yellow metal has rebounded nicely this morning. Despite all the news of higher interest rates and the stronger dollar, the price is still holding above the $1,230 area

Good news for the longs as on Friday at one point it looked like the market was going to test the 100-day moving average around the $1,218 area, but steady buying emerged when the market traded down to $1,223 in the April contract.

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The Market Gage - Dillon Gage's Precious Metals Newsletter

Another Greek Bailout Plan? What Could Be Impact on Gold?

Recently I have been sharing news about the troubled banking system facing Italy, but it’s time to once again to address the problems facing Greece.

Earlier in February while speaking in front of his party’s central committee, Greece’s Prime Minister Alexis Tspiras sent some choice comments to the German Finance Minister. He said he wasn’t pleased with the “constant aggressiveness” against Greece and his “contemptuous remarks” toward the Greek people.

He also took a shot at the International Monetary Fund, as he put it, for not telling the EU the truth about the requirements for an economic recovery for his country. After many bailouts, Greece is now looking for a another.
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