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Following Friday’s big sell-off on the back of the U.S. jobs report, trading resumed yesterday with a bit of short covering and physical demand bringing us a test of $1,175.00 and $16.00 where selling reemerged. With gold and silver entering a new lower trading range, I would expect the “shorts” to keep the pressure on unless we get an unexpected headline. A test of $1,150.00 gold and sub-$15.50 silver, where physical demand should be significant, is likely to spur on a short covering rally. Adding to negative market sentiment we have platinum trading at multi-year lows as it hovers just above $1,150.00.

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Monday through Thursday saw gold and silver mostly drift lower despite the occasional bounce. Daily trading ranges and overall volume have been below average as many market participants looked elsewhere for a market that had greater intra-day and short term volatility like the FX market. This morning’s release of the February Non-Farm Payroll report is a game changer and has broken precious metals out of the recent range to lower levels as gold and silver have already tested $1,175.00 and $15.75. Employers added 295,000 new jobs in February which far exceeded the estimate of 240,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate fell to 5.50 percent, which is the lowest it has been since May of 2008.

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Precious metal prices have tried higher since trading resumed yesterday as escalating tension in the Ukraine and speed bumps being hit over Greece’s debt negotiations with the ECB and IMF have brought buyers to the gold and silver market. China released terrible economic data yesterday as their exports fell by 3.30 percent while imports plummeted by 19.90 percent as the economic health of the world’s second largest economy continues to show weakness and will weigh on the global economy. Gold and silver, while off the overnight highs, continue to trade in positive territory this morning and silver is above $17.00 which is a welcome sign while platinum and palladium were not able to hold the rally and are trading below Friday’s settlement levels

The unrest mentioned above has U.S. equities trading lower this morning, while bonds continue to sell-off as the yield on the 10 year bond has risen 25 basis points and is back over 1.90 percent. Crude oil continues its recent recovery on a bullish report from OPEC as it has broken above $52.00. All things considered it is a bit unsettling that gold is only up $4.00 this morning. Silver is likely to be the leader this week from a technical perspective. The 50 and 100 day moving averages come in on either side of $16.75 where support should be strong while a break above the 10 day average at $17.30 could bring another test of $17.75.

From Coins to Conflict, International Wholesaler Offers Their Take on Several Key Issues Affecting the Precious Metals Marketplace in 2015

ADDISON, TEXAS (Jan. 13, 2015)—With the new year upon us, many investors and industry experts are offering their predictions for the 2015 precious metals forecast. Dillon Gage Metals, a leading international precious metals wholesaler, offers their take on several key issues ranging from general economic overviews and pricing to interest rates and geopolitical events.
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